Ukubuyekezwa kwemakethe: Abahlaziyi bachaze ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo ka-cocoa 'njenge-parabolic' njengoba ikusasa likakhokho likhuphuka elinye ngo-2.7% lafinyelela irekhodi elisha lika-$10760 ithani eNew York ngoMsombuluko (15 Ephreli) ngaphambi kokuba lihlehlele ku-£10000 ithani ngemuva inkomba yedola (DXY00) ikhuphuke yafinyelela ku-5-1/4 yezinyanga eziphakeme.

Ukukhathazeka ngokuthi ukunikezwa kukakhokho emhlabeni wonke kuzoqhubeka nokuncipha ezinyangeni ezizayo kwenza amanani entengo abe phezulu.Abahlaziyi beCiti Research babikezela ukuthi ukuntengantenga kwezimakethe zikakhokho kungabona ikusasa laseNew York likhuphukela ku-$12500 ngethani ezinyangeni ezintathu ezizayo.

Izintengo e-New York zizuze amaseshini ayisikhombisa aqondile, okuwuchungechunge olude kakhulu kusukela ekuqaleni kukaFebhuwari.Ukuvuna endaweni ekhulayo yaseNtshonalanga Afrika kuthinteke kakhulu isimo sezulu esibi kanye nezifo zezitshalo.

I-Bloomberg ibike ngoMsombuluko ukuthi i-cocoa efika emachwebeni e-cote d'lvoire (umkhiqizi omkhulu we-cocoa emhlabeni) isifinyelele amathani ayizigidi ezingu-1.31 kuze kube manje ngalesi sizathu, sehle ngo-30% kunonyaka odlule.

Ukuqothuka

Abahlaziyi beCiti babhale ukuthi amanani entengo aphezulu nawo aphakamisa ubungozi bokuqothuka kwabahwebi nabathengi ezinyangeni eziyisi-6 kuye kweziyi-12 ezizayo.

I-Barchart.com ibika ukuthi ngenxa yokuhlinzekwa okulinganiselwe, abagayi be-cocoa emhlabeni wonke bakhokha emakethe yemali ukuze baqinisekise ukutholakala kwe-cocoa kulo nyaka ngenxa yokukhathazeka okukhulayo kokuthi abahlinzeki be-cocoa baseNtshonalanga Afrika bangase bahluleke ukukhokha izinkontileka zokuhlinzeka.

NgoMsombuluko 15 Ephreli 2024 isifinyezo semakethe: Kwangathi i-ICE NY cocoa (CCK24) ivaliwe +14 (+0.13%), kwathi May ICE London cocoa #7 (CAK24) ivaliwe +191 (+2.13%).

I-Bloomberg iphinde yabika ukuthi iGhana Cocoa Board ixoxisana nabahwebi ababalulekile be-cocoa ukuze kuhlehliswe ukulethwa okungenani kuka-150000 MT kuya ku-250000 MT kakhokho kuze kube isizini ezayo ngenxa yokuntuleka kukabhontshisi.

Amanani kakhokho akhule kakhulu kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka, eqhutshwa ukushoda okubi kakhulu kokutholakala eminyakeni engama-40.

Idatha yangoMsombuluko kahulumeni evela e-Cote d'lvoire ibonise ukuthi abalimi base-Ivory Coast bathumele ukhokho ongu-1.31 MMT emachwebeni kusukela ngo-Okthoba 1 kuya ku-Ephreli 14, kwehle ngo-30% kusukela ngesikhathi esifanayo ngonyaka odlule.

Ukushoda kwe-cocoa okwesithathu

Ukushoda kwe-cocoa yonyaka kathathu kulindeleke ukuthi kudlulele ku-2023-24 njengoba ukukhiqizwa kwamanje akwanele ukuhlangabezana nesidingo.

Futhi, izintengo ze-cocoa zibona ukwesekwa okuvela kumcimbi wesimo sezulu we-EI Nino wamanje ngemva komcimbi we-EI Nino ngo-2016 ubangele isomiso esabangela umhlangano wamanani entengo ka-cocoa wafinyelela eminyakeni engu-12 ephakeme, accordinf ku-barchart.com.