Abathandi bakashokoledi balindele iphilisi elibabayo abangaligwinya - amanani okudla abakuthandayo azokhuphuka kakhulu ngenxa yezindleko eziphakeme ze-cocoa.
Amanani kashokoledi akhuphuke ngo-14% onyakeni odlule, idatha evela kudathabhesi yezobunhloli babathengi iNielsenIQ yabonisa.Futhi ngokusho kwabanye ababukeli bezimakethe, sebezokhuphuka kakhulu ngenxa yokungatholakali kwe-cocoa, okuyingxenye ebalulekile yokudla okuthandwa kakhulu.
“Imakethe kakhokho ibe nokwenyuka okumangalisayo kwamanani ... Le sizini iphawula ukushoda kwesibili kulandelana, njengoba isitokwe sikakhokho esiphela kulindeleke ukuthi sehle sibe emazingeni aphansi ngokungavamile,” Umhlaziyi Oyinhloko Wocwaningo Lwe-S&P Global Commodity Insights u-Sergey Chetvertakov etshela i-CNBC ku-imeyili.
Izintengo zikakhokho ngoLwesihlanu zikhuphuke zafinyelela ku-$3,160 toni ngayinye yemethrikhi - ephakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 5, 2016. Le mpahla igcine ukuhweba ngo-$3,171 ton ngayinye yemethrikhi.
Izintengo ze-cocoa zikhuphukela phezulu eminyakeni engu-7
U-Chetvertakov wengeze ngokuthi ukufika kwesimo sezulu sika-El Nino kubikezelwa ukuthi kuzoletha imvula ephansi kunesilinganiso kanye nomoya onamandla wase-Harmattan eNtshonalanga Afrika lapho ukhokho utshalwa khona kakhulu.I-Côte d'Ivoire kanye neGhana benza ngaphezu kwama-60% okukhiqizwa kukakhokho emhlabeni.
I-El Nino isenzakalo sezulu esivame ukuletha izimo ezishisayo nezinokushisa kunezivamile enkabeni nasempumalanga ye-tropical Pacific Ocean.
I-Chetvertakov ibona kusengaphambili ukuthi imakethe ye-cocoa ingase iboshwe ngokunye ukushoda ngesizini elandelayo, eqala ngo-Okthoba kuya kuSepthemba ngonyaka ozayo.Futhi lokho kusho ukuthi ikusasa likakhokho lingakhuphuka lifinyelele ku-$3,600 ngethani elilodwa lemethrikhi, ngokwezilinganiso zakhe.
"Ngikholelwa ukuthi abathengi kufanele bazilungiselele bona amathuba amanani aphezulu kashokoledi," esho, njengeabakhiqizi bakashokoledibayaphoqeleka ukuthi badlulisele izindleko zokukhiqiza eziphakeme kubathengi njengoba beqhubeka nokuminyanisa ngokukhuphuka kwezindleko zempahla eluhlaza, izindleko zamandla ezikhuphukayo kanye nezinga lenzalo elikhuphukayo.
Ingxenye enkulu yalokho okwenziwa ekwakhiweni kwebha likashokoledi ibhotela likakhokho, okuphinde kwabona ukwenyuka kwamanani ngo-20.5% unyaka nonyaka, ngokusho kwesizindalwazi samanani ezinto zokudla iMintec.
I-Spike in sugar and cocoa butter prices
“Njengoba ushokoledi ikakhulukazi wakhiwe ngebhotela likakhokho, onotshwala obuthile obufakwe ebumnyameni noma obisini, intengo yebhotela iyinkomba eqondile yokuthi amanani kashokoledi azohamba kanjani,” kusho uMqondisi we-Mintec we-Commodity Insights u-Andrew Moriarty.
Wengeze ngokuthi ukusetshenziswa kwe-cocoa "kuseduze nerekhodi eliphezulu eYurophu."Lesi sifunda singenisa impahla ezweni elikhulu kunawo wonke.
Ushukela, esinye isithako esiyinhloko sikashokoledi, nawo ubona ukukhuphuka kwentengo - kwephula izinga eliphezulu leminyaka eyi-11 ngo-Ephreli.
"Ikusasa likashukela liyaqhubeka nokuthola ukwesekwa ezinkingeni eziqhubekayo zokuhlinzekwa kwezidingo eNdiya, eThailand, e-Mainland China nase-European Union, lapho izimo zesomiso zihlasele izitshalo," kusho umbiko wophiko locwaningo lwe-Fitch Solutions, i-BMI, yangoMeyi 18.
Futhi ngenxa yalokho, amanani kashokoledi aphezulu akulindelekile ukuthi anciphe noma nini maduze.
"Ukuqhubeka kwesidingo esinamandla esihambisana nanoma yiziphi izinkomba zezomnotho umuntu akhetha ukuzibheka kungagcina amanani entengo ephezulu ngekusasa elibonakalayo," kusho uMhlaziyi Omkhulu Wemakethe kaBarchart uDarin Newsom.
“Kuphela uma isidingo siqala ukwehla, into engingacabangi ukuthi seyenzekile, lapho amanani kashokoledi azoqala ukuhlehla,” kusho yena.
Phakathi kwezinhlobo ezahlukene zikashokoledi, amanani obumnyama kubikwa ukuthi yiwona azoshayeka kakhulu.Ushokoledi omnyama uhlanganisa okuqinile kwe-cocoa uma kuqhathaniswa nozakwabo bashokoledi omhlophe nobisi, oqukethe cishe u-50% kuya ku-90% we-cocoa solids, ibhotela likakhokho, noshukela.
"Ngenxa yalokhu, inani likashokoledi elithinteke kakhulu lizoba mnyama, eliqhutshwa cishe ngokuphelele amanani entengo kakhokho," kusho i-Moriarty ye-Mintec.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Jun-15-2023
